Posted September 30, 2012

Pennant Race Standings: September 30

If the season ended today, Pennant Race Standings, Pennant races

Standings updated through all the games of Sunday, September 30; Postseason Odds last updated Sunday morning.

NOTE: For the remainder of the regular season, Hit and Run will have a daily post updating the standings relevant to the postseason races. The positive numbers under Games Behind for the wild-card leaders indicate their lead over the third-place team in the race, or how far they are from being knocked out of a playoff spot. The Elimination Number (E#) column indicates the total number of the given team’s losses and leading team’s wins needed to eliminate that team from the race (essentially the reverse of a magic number). The magic number of the leading team is the elimination number of the second-place team. Postseason Odds are from ClayDavenport.com and will be updated in the mornings only.

p = clinched playoff spot
d = clinched division title

AL East

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Yankees 92-67 .579 - - 65.7
p-Orioles 92-67 .579 - - 34.1
Rays 88-71 .553 4.0 E -

AL Central

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Tigers 86-73 .541 - - 95.1
White Sox 83-76 .522 3.0 1 4.9

AL West

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Rangers 93-66 .585 - - 94.7
Athletics 91-68 .572 2.0 2 5.3
Angels 88-71 .553 5.0 E 0.0

AL Wild-Card

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Orioles 92-67 .579 +4.0 - 61.9
p-Yankees 92-67 .579 +4.0 - 33.6
Athletics 91-68 .572 - - 85.7
Angels 88-71 .553 3.0 1 6.8
Rays 88-71 .553 3.0 1 6.7

AL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Rangers 92-66 .582 - - n/a
Yankees/Orioles 92-67 .579 0.5 5 n/a

If the season ended today:

  • The Orioles would host the Yankees in a one-game playoff to determine the AL East Champion on Thursday, Oct. 4.
  • Thursday’s loser would host the A’s in the wild-card game on Friday, Oct. 5.
  • The wild-card game winner would open at home against the Rangers in the Division Series.
  • The Tigers would open at home against the AL East Champion in the other Division Series.

NL East

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Nationals 96-63 .604 - - 99.6
p-Braves 93-66 .585 3.0 1 0.4

NL Central

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Reds 96-63 .604 - - 100.0

NL West

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Giants 93-66 .585 - - 100.0

NL Wild-Card

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Braves 93-66 .585 +10.5 - 99.6
Cardinals 86-73 .541 - - 93.0
Dodgers 83-75 .525 2.5 2 6.8
Brewers 81-78 .509 5.0 E -

NL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Nationals 96-63 .604 - - n/a
Reds 96-63 .604 - 4 n/a
Giants 93-66 .585 3.0 1 n/a

If the season ended today:

  • The Braves would host the Cardinals in the wild-card game.
  • The wild-card winner would open at home against the Nationals in the Division Series (the Nationals own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Reds for homefield advantage).
  • The Giants would open at home against the Reds in the other Division Series.

Tiebreakers:  A two-way tie for first place in a division or the second wild-card spot would be decided by a single playoff game on Thursday, October 4. A two-way tie for homefield advantage would be decided by head-to-head winning percentage. For details on other tiebreak scenarios look here.

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