Posted October 03, 2012

Pennant Race Standings: October 2

If the season ended today, Pennant Race Standings, Pennant races

Standings updated through all the games of Tuesday October 2; Postseason Odds last updated Tuesday morning.

NOTE: For the remainder of the regular season, Hit and Run will have a daily post updating the standings relevant to the postseason races. The positive numbers under Games Behind for the wild-card leaders indicate their lead over the second-place team in the race for home-field advantage in the wild-card game. The Elimination Number (E#) column indicates the total number of the given team’s losses and leading team’s wins needed to eliminate that team from the race (essentially the reverse of a magic number). The magic number of the leading team is the elimination number of the second-place team. Postseason Odds are from ClayDavenport.com and will be updated in the mornings only.

d = clinched division title
w = clinched wild card
p = clinched playoff spot

AL East

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Yankees 94-67 .584 - - 88.3
p-Orioles 93-68 .578 1.0 1 11.7

Postseason Path: The Yankees will win the division outright if they win their final game against the Red Sox or if the Orioles lose their final game to the Rays. If the Yankees lose and the Orioles win on Wednesday, the two teams will play a one-game playoff for the division in Baltimore on Thursday with the loser hosting the wild-card game.

AL Central

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Tigers 87-74 .540 - - 100.0

Postseason Path: The Tigers will be the third seed in the AL.

AL West

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Rangers 93-68 .578 - - 83.7
p-Athletics 93-68 .578 - - 16.3

Postseason Path: The winner of Wednesday afternoon’s game between the A’s and Rangers will win the AL West. The loser will play in Friday’s wild-card game.

AL Wild-Card

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Athletics/Rangers 93-68 .578 - - 83.7
p-Orioles 93-68 .578 - - 88.3

Postseason Path: The A’s and Rangers both own the home-field tiebreaker over the Orioles by virtue of having won their season series. Thus the loser of Wednesday’s game in Oakland would host the wild-card game if the Orioles lose on Wednesday. If the Yankees and Orioles both win on Wednesday, the Orioles would host the loser of the AL West race in the wild-card game. If the Yankees and Orioles have to play a one-game playoff on Thursday to determine the AL East winner, that game would not count against the loser in determining home-field for the wild-card game, so the loser of the AL East playoff would host the wild-card game by virtue of having 94 wins to the AL West loser’s 93 wins.

AL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Yankees 94-67 .584 - - n/a
Rangers/A’s 93-68 .581 1.0 1 n/a

Postseason Path: The Yankees hold the home-field tiebreaker over the Rangers by virtue of having won their season series 4-3. The Yankees and A’s split their season series, but the A’s have the better record against their own division, which would give them the tiebreaker if they win on Wednesday and the Yankees lose. The Yankees would clinch home-field advantage with a win on Wednesday.

If the season ended Tuesday:

  • The A’s and Rangers would play a one-game playoff for the AL West title, which is what game 162 will effectively be on Wednesday afternoon.
  • The loser of the A’s-Rangers playoff would would host the Orioles in the wild-card game.
  • The wild-card game winner would open at home against the Yankees in the Division Series.
  • The Tigers would open at home against the AL West winner in the other Division Series.

NL East

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Nationals 97-64 .602 - - 100.0

NL Central

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Reds 97-64 .602 - - 100.0

NL West

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Giants 94-67 .584 - - 100.0

Postseason Path: The Giants will be the third seed in the NL.

NL Wild-Card

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
w-Braves 93-68 .578 +6.0 - 100.0
w-Cardinals 87-74 .540 - - 100.0
Dodgers 85-75 .528 2.0 E -

Postseason Path: The Cardinals clinched the final NL wild-card spot with the Dodgers 4-3 loss to the Giants Tuesday night. The Braves will host the Cardinals in the NL wild-card game on Friday.

NL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Nationals 97-64 .602 - - n/a
Reds 97-64 .602 - - n/a

Postseason Path: The Nationals hold the home-field tiebreaker over the Reds by virtue of having won their season series 5-2 and thus can clinch home-field advantage with a win or a Reds loss on Wednesday.

If the season ended Tuesday:

  • The Braves will host the Cardinals in the wild-card game.
  • The wild-card winner would open at home against the Nationals.
  • The Giants would open at home against the Reds in the other Division Series.

Tiebreakers:  A two-way tie for first place in a division or the second wild-card spot would be decided by a single playoff game on Thursday, October 4. A two-way tie for homefield advantage would be decided by head-to-head winning percentage. For details on other tiebreak scenarios look here.

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