Posted September 16, 2013

Pennant race standings and projected postseason matchups: September 16

If the season ended today, Pennant Race Standings, Pennant races

Standings updated through all the games of Sunday, September 15.

NOTE: For the remainder of the regular season, The Strike Zone will have a daily post updating the standings relevant to the postseason races. The positive numbers under Games Behind for the wild-card leaders indicate their lead over the third-place team in the race, or how far they are from being knocked out of a playoff spot. The Elimination Number (E#) column indicates the total number of the given team’s losses and leading team’s wins needed to eliminate that team from the race (essentially the reverse of a magic number). The magic number of the leading team is the elimination number of the second-place team. Postseason Odds are from ClayDavenport.com and will be updated in the mornings only.

AL East
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Red Sox 92-59 .609 - - 99.995
Rays 81-67 .547 9.5 4 0.005

AL Central
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Tigers 86-63 .577 - - 99.2
Indians 81-68 .544 5.0 9 0.8

AL West
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Athletics 88-61 .591 - - 99.7
Rangers 81-67 .547 6.5 8 0.3

AL Wild-Card
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Rays 81-67 .547 - - 64.1
Rangers 81-67 .547 - - 57.7
Indians 81-68 .544 0.5 14 64.3
Orioles 79-70 .530 2.5 12 4.2
Yankees 79-71 .527 3.0 11 3.8
Royals 78-71 .523 3.5 11 4.7

AL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Red Sox 92-59 .609 - - n/a
Athletics 88-61 .591 3.0 10 n/a
Tigers 86-63 .577 5.0 8 n/a

If the season ended today:

  • The Rangers would host the Rays in the Wild Card Game on Wednesday, Oct. 2 (homefield advantage determined by Texas leading the season series between the two teams, 2-1)
  • The Wild Card Game winner would face the Red Sox in the Division Series.
  • The A’s would have homefield advantage against the Tigers in the other Division Series.

NL East
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Braves 89-60 .597 - - 99.99
Nationals 79-70 .530 10.0 4 0.01

NL Central
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Cardinals 87-62 .584 - - 49.5
Pirates 87-62 .584 - - 46.1
Reds 84-66 .560 3.5 10 4.4

NL West
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Dodgers 86-63 .577 - - 99.99
Diamondbacks 75-73 .507 10.5 4 0.01

NL Wild-Card
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Cardinals 87-62 .584 +8 - 50.4
Pirates 87-62 .584 +8 - 53.8
Reds 84-66 .560 - - 93.3
Nationals 79-70 .530 4.5 9 2.5
Diamondbacks 75-73 .507 8.0 6 0.2

NL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Braves 89-60 .597 - - n/a
Cardinals 87-62 .584 2.0 12 n/a
Pirates 87-62 .584 2.0 12 n/a
Dodgers 86-63 .577 3.0 11 n/a

If the season ended today:

  • The Pirates and Cardinals would play a tiebreak game in Pittsburgh on Monday, September 30 (homefield advantage determined by Pittsburgh having won the season series between the two teams 10-9) to determine the NL Central champion.
  • Loser of the NL Central tiebreaker would host the Reds in the Wild Card Game on Tuesday, Oct. 1.
  • Winner of the Wild Card Game would face the Braves in the Division Series
  • Winner of the NL Central tiebreaker would have homefield advantage against the Dodgers in the other Division Series.
1 comments
jlfranck
jlfranck

I am not sure I fully understand the logic of the possible scenario in the NL Central playoff system. If Pittsburgh and St. Louis tie at the end of the season, the loser of their playoff game will be punished by having to play a second game, the wild-card game, probably against Cincinnati. So, if I get it, one of these two teams, if they tie for first place, could be at a disadvantage going into the playoffs by virtue of the fact that they will have had to use their two best pitchers in order to make it to the playoffs. Doesn't it make more sense that if there is a tie at the end of the season for the best record, both teams automatically make it as playoff teams, the division winner determined by the playoff game but the loser becoming the wild-card entrant?