Posted September 17, 2013

Pennant race standings and projected postseason matchups: September 17

If the season ended today, Pennant Race Standings, Pennant races

Standings updated as of 5 pm on Tuesday, September 17.

NOTE: For the remainder of the regular season, The Strike Zone will have a daily post updating the standings relevant to the postseason races. The positive numbers under Games Behind for the wild-card leaders indicate their lead over the third-place team in the race, or how far they are from being knocked out of a playoff spot. The Elimination Number (E#) column indicates the total number of the given team’s losses and leading team’s wins needed to eliminate that team from the race (essentially the reverse of a magic number). The magic number of the leading team is the elimination number of the second-place team. Postseason Odds are from ClayDavenport.com and will be updated in the mornings only.

AL East

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Red Sox 92-59 .609 - - 99.992
Rays 82-67 .550 9.0 4 0.008

AL Central

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Tigers 87-63 .580 - - 99.8
Indians 81-69 .540 6.0 7 0.2

AL West

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Athletics 88-62 .587 - - 99.7
Rangers 81-68 .544 6.5 7 0.3

AL Wild-Card

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Rays 82-67 .547 +1.5 - 76.4
Rangers 81-68 .547 - - 50.1
Indians 81-69 .540 0.5 13 56.4
Orioles 79-70 .530 2.0 12 4.7
Royals 79-71 .527 2.5 11 7.6
Yankees 79-71 .527 2.5 11 4.3

AL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Red Sox 92-59 .609 - - n/a
Athletics 88-62 .587 3.5 9 n/a
Tigers 87-63 .577 5.5 8 n/a

If the season ended today:

  • The Rays would host the Rangers in the Wild Card Game on Wednesday, Oct. 2.
  • The Wild Card Game winner would face the Red Sox in the Division Series.
  • The A’s would have homefield advantage against the Tigers in the other Division Series.

NL East

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Braves 89-61 .593 - - 99.997
Nationals 78-70 .533 9.0 4 0.003

NL Central

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Cardinals 87-63 .580 - - 48.5
Pirates 87-63 .580 - - 42.4
Reds 85-66 .563 2.5 10 9.2

NL West

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Dodgers 86-64 .573 - - 99.99
Diamondbacks 76-73 .510 9.5 4 0.01

NL Wild-Card

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Cardinals 87-63 .580 +7.5 - 51.4
Pirates 87-63 .580 +7.5 - 57.6
Reds 85-66 .563 - - 89.7
Nationals 80-70 .533 4.5 8 1.3
Diamondbacks 76-73 .510 8.0 5 0.2

NL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Braves 89-60 .597 - - n/a
Cardinals 87-63 .580 2.5 11 n/a
Pirates 87-63 .580 2.5 11 n/a
Dodgers 86-64 .573 3.5 10 n/a

If the season ended today:

  • The Pirates and Cardinals would play a tiebreak game in Pittsburgh on Monday, Sept. 30 (homefield advantage determined by Pittsburgh having won the season series between the two teams 10-9) to determine the NL Central champion.
  • Loser of the NL Central tiebreaker would host the Reds in the Wild Card Game on Tuesday, Oct. 1.
  • Winner of the Wild Card Game would face the Braves in the Division Series
  • Winner of the NL Central tiebreaker would have homefield advantage against the Dodgers in the other Division Series.
3 comments
DugoutBoyz
DugoutBoyz

It's now that time of the year when we start to recall specific games lost...that were given away by sloppy defense and errors that completely changed the game's outcome.


As a NATS fan....can't help but focus on Ryan Zimmerman's crappy defense and his inability to make accurate...NON RUSHED throws to 1st base.


Am tired of selfish players who refuse to fess up when they are not 100%.

facemaster
facemaster

The Orioles are 2 games behind and they play the Rays before seasons end.  4.7%?  Please.  

DrEvil2791
DrEvil2791

@facemasterThe probability is based on the fact that the Orioles not only have to jump the Rays, but the Indians, as well. This is in addition to having 2 teams with nearly identical records to fend off simultaneously. It would also appear that the O's schedule breaks down less favorably than the competition. 4.7% sounds about right.