Posted September 20, 2013

Pennant race standings and projected postseason matchups: September 20

If the season ended today, Pennant Race Standings, Pennant races

Standings updated through all the games of Thursday, September 19.

NOTE: For the remainder of the regular season, The Strike Zone will have a daily post updating the standings relevant to the postseason races. The positive numbers under Games Behind for the wild-card leaders indicate their lead over the third-place team in the race, or how far they are from being knocked out of a playoff spot. The Elimination Number (E#) column indicates the total number of the given team’s losses and leading team’s wins needed to eliminate that team from the race (essentially the reverse of a magic number). The magic number of the leading team is the elimination number of the second-place team. Postseason Odds are from ClayDavenport.com and will be updated in the mornings only.

d = clinched division title
p = clinched playoff berth

AL East

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Red Sox 93-61 .604 - - 99.9998
Rays 83-69 .546 9.0 1 0.0002

AL Central

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Tigers 89-64 .582 - - 99.9
Indians 83-70 .542 6.0 4 0.1

AL West

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Athletics 90-63 .588 - - 99.9
Rangers 83-69 .546 6.5 4 0.1

AL Wild-Card

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Rangers 83-69 .546 - - 67.1
Rays 83-69 .546 - - 59.8
Indians 83-70 .542 0.5 10 60.0
Orioles 81-71 .533 2.0 9 7.5
Royals 80-72 .526 3.0 8 4.2
Yankees 80-73 .523 3.5 7 1.3

AL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Red Sox 93-61 .604 - - n/a
Athletics 90-63 .588 2.5 7 n/a
Tigers 89-64 .582 3.5 6 n/a

If the season ended today:

  • The Rangers would host the Rays in the Wild Card Game on Wednesday, Oct. 2 (homefield advantage determined by the Rangers having won the season series 4-3).
  • The Wild Card Game winner would face the Red Sox in the Division Series.
  • The A’s would have homefield advantage against the Tigers in the other Division Series.

NL East

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Braves 90-62 .592 - - 99.9996
Nationals 82-71 .536 8.5 2 0.0004

NL Central

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Cardinals 89-64 .582 - - 65.3
Pirates 88-65 .575 1.0 9 21.4
Reds 87-66 .569 2.0 8 13.3

NL West

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Dodgers 88-65 .575 - - 100.0
Diamondbacks 77-75 .507 10.5 - -

NL Wild-Card

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Pirates 88-65 .575 +6.0 - 78.4
Reds 87-66 .569 - - 86.0
Nationals 82-71 .536 5.0 5 1.0
Diamondbacks 77-75 .507 9.5 1 0.0

NL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs

Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Braves 90-62 .592 - - n/a
Cardinals 89-64 .582 1.5 9 n/a
Dodgers 88-65 .575 2.5 8 n/a

If the season ended today:

  • The Pirates would host the Reds in the Wild Card Game on Tuesday, Oct. 1.
  • The Wild Card Game winner would face the Braves in the Division Series
  • The Cardinals would have homefield advantage against the Dodgers in the other Division Series.
4 comments
JohnnyNacho
JohnnyNacho

The whole one game playoff situation I think devalues the 162 game season. 

athelstane
athelstane

@JohnnyNacho Does it? What the one game playoff does is restore more of the importance of winning your own division. If you don't take care of business, you're now given only a jump ball chance at an LDS appearance. 

I would rather we did not have wild cards at all. But if we must have it, I think there's something to be said for better rewarding teams who take care of business in their division.

buckeyes2432
buckeyes2432

@athelstane @JohnnyNacho why not keep the 2 wild card team format but make the two teams with the least amount of wins that make the playoffs play each other in a one game playoff.  Right now the Dodgers and Pirates have the same record but the Dodgers are assured of making the LDS while the Pirates could possibly have a better record than the Dodgers, but are stuck playing in a one game playoff game.  

athelstane
athelstane

@buckeyes2432 @athelstane @JohnnyNacho Well, if you're going to do that, you might as well trash the divisions, and just go with straight-up seeding. Because there really wouldn't be much point to divisions if division championships don't mean anything more than a 1 game playoff berth.

The 1942 Brooklyn Dodgers won 104 games, but ended up not even going to the playoffs, because the Cardinals won 106. Those 104 wins were more than even the best AL team, the Yankees (103). There's always going to be a risk of seeming inequities like this when you divide a league up into parts. The only to avoid it, to really eliminate it, would be to not only get rid of divisions, but to get rid of leagues, too, and just set up a tournament of the 8 or 10 teams (take your pick) with the best records.