Posted September 23, 2013

Pennant race standings and projected playoff matchups: September 23

If the season ended today, Pennant Race Standings, Pennant races

Standings updated through all the games of Sunday, September 22.

NOTE: For the remainder of the regular season, The Strike Zone will have a daily post updating the standings relevant to the postseason races. The positive numbers under Games Behind for the wild-card leaders indicate their lead over the third-place team in the race, or how far they are from being knocked out of a playoff spot. The Elimination Number (E#) column indicates the total number of the given team’s losses and leading team’s wins needed to eliminate that team from the race (essentially the reverse of a magic number). The magic number of the leading team is the elimination number of the second-place team. Postseason Odds are from ClayDavenport.com and will be updated in the mornings only.

d = clinched division title
p = clinched playoff berth

AL East
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Red Sox 95-62 .605 - - 100.0

 

AL Central
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Tigers 91-65 .583 - - 99.93
Indians 86-70 .551 5.0 2 0.07

 

AL West
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Athletics 93-63 .596 - - 100.0
Rangers 84-71 .542 8.5 - -

 

AL Wild-Card
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Rays 86-69 .555 +2.0 - 82.5
Indians 86-70 .551 - - 77.9
Rangers 84-71 .542 1.5 6 37.5
Royals 82-73 .529 3.5 4 1.4
Yankees 82-74 .526 4.0 3 0.5
Orioles 81-74 .523 4.5 3 0.1

 

AL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Red Sox 95-62 .605 - - n/a
Athletics 93-63 .596 1.5 5 n/a
Tigers 91-65 .583 3.5 3 n/a

 

If the season ended today:

  • The Rays would host the Indians in the Wild Card Game on Wednesday, Oct. 2.
  • The Wild Card Game winner would face the Red Sox in the Division Series.
  • The A’s would have homefield advantage against the Tigers in the other Division Series.
NL East
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Braves 92-63 .594 - - 100.0
Nationals 84-72 .538 8.5 - -

 

NL Central
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
p-Cardinals 91-65 .583 - - 81.7
Reds 89-67 .571 2.0 5 12.2
Pirates 89-67 .571 2.0 5 6.1

 

NL West
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
d-Dodgers 90-66 .577 - - 100.0

 

NL Wild-Card
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Pirates 89-67 .571 - - 93.8
Reds 89-67 .571 - - 87.7
Nationals 84-72 .538 5.0 2 0.2

 

NL Home-field Advantage Throughout Playoffs
Team W-L Pct. GB E# Odds
Braves 92-63 .591 - - n/a
Cardinals 91-65 .587 1.5 6 n/a
Dodgers 90-66 .574 2.5 5 n/a

 

If the season ended today:

  • The Pirates would host the Reds in the Wild Card Game on Tuesday, Oct. 1 (homefield determined by the Pirates’ superior intradivision winning percentage since the two teams are tied 8-8 in their head-to-head season series)
  • The Wild Card Game winner would face the Braves in the Division Series
  • The Cardinals would have homefield advantage against the Dodgers in the other Division Series.
1 comments
OldSchool2
OldSchool2

I agree that Cleveland and Cincinnati will probably be the second wild cards, but how can it be TWICE as likely that they'll make it over Texas (one game behind Cleveland in the loss column, playing at home today against Houston) and Pittsburgh (same record as Cincinnati)?  If I were a "sportin' man," I'd take those odds on the Rangers and the Bucs.